Finanzprognose-Generator

Eingabe

Business Description

A B2B SaaS analytics tool. Currently $8K MRR with 90 customers, average $89/month. Sales-led with some self-serve. Main costs are two engineers, hosting, and paid acquisition. Churn around 3% monthly.

Revenue Model

subscription

Current Revenue

$8K MRR

Projection Period

3-year

Growth Assumption

moderate

Ausgabe (Auszug)

Starting from $8K MRR ($96K ARR), moderate assumptions: net new MRR growing 8% MoM tapering to 4% by Year 3, with 3% monthly churn factored in. Year 1 exit: ~$22K MRR ($264K ARR). Year 2: ~$48K MRR. Year 3: ~$85K MRR (~$1.0M ARR). Gross margin ~80%. Key drivers: keep CAC payback under 12 months and reduce churn to 2% to add ~$140K ARR by Year 3. Biggest risk: churn compounding against new sales — a 1-point churn improvement matters more than 10% more leads.

Eingabe

Business Description

An online store selling handmade candles. Currently $12K/month revenue, 35% gross margin, average order $34. Growth comes from Instagram and repeat customers. Seasonal spike in Q4.

Revenue Model

ecommerce

Current Revenue

$12K/month

Projection Period

1-year

Growth Assumption

conservative

Ausgabe (Auszug)

Conservative 12-month outlook from a $12K/month base ($144K annual). Modeling 4% MoM growth in non-holiday months and a 2.2x Q4 seasonal lift (Oct-Dec). Projected annual revenue: ~$205K, with roughly 30% of it landing in Q4. At 35% gross margin that's ~$72K gross profit before marketing. To protect margin, hold ad spend under 15% of revenue and lean on repeat customers (cheapest growth). Cash-flow flag: pre-fund Q4 inventory by August or risk stockouts during peak demand.

Eingabe

Business Description

A pre-revenue marketplace connecting freelance video editors with content creators. We plan a 12% take rate on each transaction. Launch in 3 months. Founder-led with a small dev team.

Revenue Model

marketplace

Current Revenue

pre-revenue

Projection Period

5-year

Growth Assumption

aggressive

Ausgabe (Auszug)

Pre-revenue, aggressive five-year model on a 12% take rate. Assumptions: average transaction $250; GMV ramping from $120K in Year 1 to $14M by Year 5 as supply and demand compound. Net revenue (take rate): Y1 ~$14K, Y2 ~$190K, Y3 ~$720K, Y4 ~$1.8M, Y5 ~$3.4M. Critical levers: liquidity (match rate) and repeat-transaction frequency, not headline user counts. Reality check: aggressive GMV assumes solving cold-start fast — if supply lags, shift Year 1-2 figures down 40-60%.